Monday, April 24, 2006

DC Petrocollapse Conference

With speakers from Global Ecovillage Network, Energy

Preparedness, CultureChange.org & Community Solution;
Richard Heinberg, "Powerdown: Options and Actions for a

Post-Carbon World;" Joel Salatin, organic
farmer & author of "You Can Farm;"

music, films & much more
A conference
all people
should attend!!





The DC Petrocollapse
Conference

Surviving Peak Oil: Economic Doom or

Transformation
?

Culture Change and
Post-Petroleum

Sustainable Living


Saturday May 6 * 9 am - 7 pm


All Souls Church * 16th
&
Harvard Streets, NW
Washington DC
near Adams Morgan (Red) or

Columbia Heights (Green) Metro Stations * Directions

*
Map



Register now to attend! www.petrocollapse.org






The sudden effects of perpetual oil shortage are likely to strike
within the next three years. Are we prepared? Sponsored by Culture
Change, the DC PetroCollapse Conference will present the facts behind
the hype about Peak Oil, explore the root factors of our present
"oil-addicted" condition, and envision the strategies that we need to
bypass unhelpful institutional barriers and achieve post-Peak Oil
economic sustainability.



Experts on peak oil and the geological depletion of oil reserves, and
advocates for small-scale agriculture, alternative energy and local
sustainable economics will discuss "petrocollapse," the imminent
failure of the petroleum infrastructure to continue to provide the
myriad goods and services that our consumer economy has grown
accustomed to. Multimedia presentations and multiple films will
demonstrate solutions to
the audience.


CONFERENCE SPEAKERS INCLUDE
Albert Bates,
Global Ecovillage Network

Diana Leafe Christian, Communities Magazine
Richard Heinberg,


Powerdown: Options and

Actions for a Post-Carbon World
Jan Lundberg,
CultureChange.org

Mark Rabinowitz, Permatopia
Michael Kane,
From the Wilderness
publications
Joel Salatin, PolyFace Farms

&
You Can Farm

Faith Morgan & Pat Murphy,
Community Solution


David Room,
Energy Preparedness

John Darnell, PhD Energy Advisor
Jenna Orkin, Moderator

&


World Trade Center Environmental Organization




YOU ARE INVITED TO ATTEND!




Register online via PayPal at
http://petrocollapse.org/register.html





Registration cost of $100 pays for lunch
and attendance at special noontime press conference.





Scholarships, work exchange arrangements, and "sliding scale" discounts are available

for students, activists, and others. Everyone will be accomodated! Send
us an email with details of your situation, and/or what time or energy
you may have for volunteer activity for the conference. Send to

conferences@culturechange.org
.


Contact conference coordinator Ethan Genauer if you have any problems registering OR for more details by email at :

ethan@culturechange.org





For more info, see
http://petrocollapse.org
The DC Petrocollapse Conference
Surviving Peak Oil: Economic Doom or Transformation?
Culture Change and Post-Petroleum
Sustainable Living
Saturday May 6 * 9 am - 7 pm
All Souls Church * 16th & Harvard Streets, NW Washington DC near Adams Morgan (Red) or Columbia Heights (Green) Metro Stations * Directions * Map
Register now to attend! www.petrocollapse.org

A conference on the effects of peak oil and the growing global energy crisis will take place in Washington, DC on May 6th at the All Souls Church, Unitarian from 9 A.M. to 7 P.M. Speakers include peak-oil author Richard Heinberg.

Conference organizer and speaker Jan Lundberg is a former oil industry analyst who ran the market research firm Lundberg Survey. Lundberg, who quit serving the oil industry so he could put his knowledge to use to protect the environment, says "M. King Hubbert, who developed the theory of peak oil, observed that we do not have an energy crisis but rather a culture crisis. This fits with the theme of the Washington DC Petrocollapse Conference that there is no technofix for our energy dilemma. Society will have to reclaim a closer level of community and rediscover how local economics works."

The May 6th conference will feature Richard Heinberg, the most-read peak oil author (The Party's Over, and Powerdown). Films and music will be also offered as part of a varied program to stimulate discussion and action by attendees. Heinberg and Lundberg and others will perform music including oil-satire songs. Films will include premiers of "Our Synthetic Sea" (plastics pollution in oceans) and "The Power of Community: How Cuba Survived Peak Oil."

Lundberg says the Petrocollapse Conference asks, "What we can do in advance of the social upheaval and chaos that may produce a 'national New Orleans,' to prepare or mitigate? What will the future look like during and after a transition to non-petroleum living?"

###

The New York Times calls Peak Oil "almost certainly correct." Fortune Magazine says, "An economic tsunami is about to hit the global economy as the world runs out of oil." As oil prices soar and supplies of crude oil and refined petroleum products strain to keep up with demand, as global warming fuels out-of-control hurricanes that wreak havoc on oil production infrastructure as well as upon devastated populations, the critical issue of Peak Oil is finally becoming acknowledged in the mainstream news.

But the complete story is still suppressed, misunderstandings abound, and the public remains in the dark about the vast array of consequences due to hit from this looming "permanent energy crisis." The sudden effects of perpetual oil shortage are likely to strike within the next three years. Are we prepared? Sponsored by Culture Change, the DC PetroCollapse Conference will present the facts behind the hype about Peak Oil, explore the root factors of our present "oil-addicted" condition, and envision the strategies that we need to bypass unhelpful institutional barriers and achieve post-Peak Oil economic sustainability.

The public is also not fully aware of the extent to which oil pervades our lives not simply as fuel for transportation but also in the form of pesticides, fertilizers and plastics. A decline in oil supplies will affect our ability to grow enough food for the current global population of six and a half billion people. Malnutrition and resulting illness can be expected to spread far beyond the 3.7 billion who are currently affected into the developed world.

Our economy also depends on indefinite growth that will not be sustainable once Peak Oil hits. Its arrival is likely to have a paralyzing affect on certain sectors of the economy which will in turn spread both nationally and globally.

Most independent oil experts agree that the peak in global oil extraction is occurring approximately now. The pressures of the market to distribute the fuels and materials made from petroleum are already creating intense competition for energy supplies around the world. As the gap between supply and demand widens and prices skyrocket, supply will tighten as never before due to hoarding. This will cause massive repercussions in daily living and the global economy. Not only will people have to adapt to an energy-poor world by concentrating on sustainably working with their regional ecosystems for all their needs, but will also have to cope with climate change which is rapidly accelerating. This scenario is referred to by oil expert and conference organizer Jan Lundberg as Petrocollapse.

As the conference brochure states, "the world's peak in oil extraction is about now -- although there is uncertainty and debate. The pressures of the Market to smoothly spread around the fuels and materials made from petroleum promise to create intense competition for energy supplies, as seen already today on the world stage. As the gap between supply and demand widens and prices skyrocket, supply will tighten as never before due to hoarding. This will cause massive repercussions in daily living and the global economy. Not only will people have to adapt to an energy-poor world by concentrating on sustainably working with their regional ecosystems for all their needs, climate change is accelerating."

At The Petrocollapse Conference we will ask

* What are we facing now as the economy prepares to hit the wall known as resource limits? Will growth suddenly implode?
* What will be the effects of Peak Oil (a geological phenomenon) and petrocollapse (an economic and social phenomenon) on food supply and other services we depend on?
* What mitigation strategies are possible?
* What is the role of the market in determining how severe the effect of shortage stemming from geological depletion will be ?
* Upon upheaval, deprivation, and a restructuring of social relations in a "new" local economics system, will we choose to create a sustainable culture?

** contact conference coordinator Ethan in DC **
ethan@culturechange.org

Register online via PayPal at http://petrocollapse.org/register.html

Wednesday, April 19, 2006

Bloomington, IL Expo

Some friends of Sustenance are producing this expo. It should be great!

Make Plans to Attend Now

Next Fri. & Sat. April 21 & 22IWU Shirk Center, Bloomington, Illinois

70 Workshops - Many Relevant Subjects
Sustainable Living Practices
Genuine Health & Wellness
Renewable Energy
Organic Farming & Gardening
Environmental Care & Justice
Green Building Ideas
View Workshop Schedule

Over 110 Exhibitors - Many Products and Services
View Complete List of Exhibitors

Friday Evening Keynote Address, Mixer & Dance
Topic: The Heart of Sustainable Living & Wellnes

This is event if for all of us who care about our health, our communities, other peoples and our native home - the Earth.Please forward this email along to make this a wildly successful event...!!! Thank You...

We hope to see you at the Expo...

Center for Sustainable Community
email: csc@stelle.net
phone: 815-256-2204
web: www.centerforsustainablecommunity.org

Saturday, April 15, 2006

San Francisco Becomes First U.S. City to Pass Peak Oil Resolution

Exciting news!

San Francisco on Tuesday became the first major U.S. city to pass a resolution acknowledging the threats posed by peak oil, urging the city to develop a comprehensive plan to respond to the emerging global energy crunch.

...The measure comes on the heels of an increasingly effective grass roots campaign by groups such as San Francisco Oil Awareness, Post Carbon San Francisco, and SF Informatics, who have sponsored mailings and meetings targeting Bay Area elected officials for more than two years. San Francisco has been making strides in the area of energy independence, energy watchdogs have reported. The group Sustainlane.com says that San Francisco was voted third best city to withstand an oil crisis.
See the whole press release with links here.

Wednesday, April 12, 2006

terrorist chickens

(This is absolutely insane given the likelyhood that we all will need to become more self-sufficient in the future.)

Synopsis: FDA says all animals must be micro-chipped. This will happen through the creation and pending implementation of a national animal identification system ("NAIS"). This applies to anyone who keeps a cow, a chicken or duck or any other animal kept for business or pleasure. If you don't have time to read the whole alert, at least read the red.

"I have a very strong feeling that the opposite of love is not hate -- it's apathy. It's not giving a damn."--Leo Buscaglia

From Mother Earth News

Conflicts with the American Dream

Articles about the National Animal Identification System (NAIS) say the government is planning a mandatory program in which all animal owners eventually will be required to register their land and animals and to insert electronic tracers into all their animals. Eventually, NAIS may require retinal (eye) scans or DNA samples.

Who will pay for this? It will burden small-scale owners — say of a chicken or two or even of a single pigeon — leaving large corporations as the only animal owners. This conflicts with the American dream of self-sufficiency. I know I am not alone in the suspicion that government management would mean mismanagement and waste.

My spouse and I have spent the last several years working hard to save for our own land, our own animals, our own lives. I fear this new infringement on my privacy, liberty and enjoyment of life may well destroy all we have worked so hard to build.

I also am concerned about required registration by way of a “secure” database of private information — no database is secure.

~Marion Parker
Leavenworth, Kansas

Nothing to do with Food Safety

The National Animal Identification System (NAIS) discussed in “Big Brother in the Barnyard” (“Green Gazette,” February/March 2006) is a serious issue with far-reaching ramifications. If it becomes a mandatory USDA program, all livestock owners will have to register their property and animals with the government. Several states already have implemented mandatory programs. Consumers might think that’s good, because it will keep our food safe, but the NAIS has nothing to do with food safety. It is intended to create a database so animal diseases can be traced through the life of the animal. So what’s wrong with that — don’t we need to control diseases like mad cow disease (bovine spongiform encephalopathy, or BSE)?

The truth is, the NAIS would work only after a disease was discovered. It is a backwards tracking program, not a preventive program.
Currently, the USDA does postmortem BSE testing on only a very few animals relative to the 35 to 40 million slaughtered in America every year. Since the USDA doesn’t test every cow postmortem, as Japan does, it’s unlikely to find BSE, and no traceback or control can take place. Even worse, we are still eating beef that has never been tested for BSE.

The NAIS won’t work under current USDA standards. Who will pay the price? All of us. The federal government already has allocated about $50 million, final price tag unknown. Anyone who owns even one goat, sheep, cow, horse, etc., will have to buy radio tags or implant chips, so don’t think it will just affect the large factory farms.

~Elaine Kist
Hartsel, Colorado

We share your concerns about this new system. The USDA’s take on NAIS is posted at http://animalid.aphis.usda.gov/nais. You can read other perspectives at

http://www.stopanimalid.org/,
http://www.noanimalid.com/,
www.scoop.co.nz

(search for “terrorist chickens”) and numerous other Web sites. We encourage readers to convey their concerns to the USDA and to their elected representatives. — Mother

WESTON A. PRICE FOUNDATION
INFORMATION ALERT
April 10, 2006

UPDATE ON THE NATIONAL ANIMAL IDENTIFICATION SYSTEM (NAIS)

WAPF Member and Chapter Leader, Judith McGeary (Austin, TX) has created a new non-profit organization, The Farm and Ranch Alliance, to lobby for independent farmers and ranchers on NAIS and other such intrusive programs (part 1 below). She also provides an up-to-date look at NAIS, based on a press conference USDA Secretary Mike Johanns held on Thursday, April 6 (see part 2 below). The good news is that USDA will not propose regulations in July 2006 for NAIS and the USDA extended the timelines for the program. The bad news is that the USDA has simply decentralized the system without significantly changing the requirements

1. The Farm and Ranch Freedom Alliance: Leading the Fight Against NAIS

The Farm and Ranch Freedom Alliance (FARFA), a newly-created nonprofit organization, will lobby on behalf of independent farmers and ranchers. For too long, legislators and agency bureaucrats have heard only from large, corporate producers. Meanwhile, independent producers have been largely unrepresented.

This lack of representation has culminated in the current problem: the creation and pending implementation of a national animal identification system ("NAIS"). NAIS poses a serious threat to all farmers, ranchers, livestock owners, and companion-animal owners, whether they are organic or conventional, small or large, involved with animals for business or for pleasure. Across the country, every person with even one horse, cow, chicken, pig, goat, sheep, exotic animal or virtually any other livestock animal on their premises, will be required to register their homes and property into a database and subject their property and animals to government surveillance.

Each animal would be individually identified, physically tagged (in many cases with radio frequency tags or microchips), and every "event" in the animal's life (including birth, movement to and from premises, and death) reported to the government or to a private industry database that the government has the power to access. The only exception from individual identification and tracking is that large industrial agricultural producers will be able to use just one group number for an entire confinement house of poultry or swine. Small producers, who do not manage their animals in isolated groups, will not qualify for this convenience.

NAIS does not distinguish between large corporate factory farms and the smallest family producer, hobby farmer, or the grandmother with a few laying hens. Many families may be made criminals due to their religious convictions and concerns over privacy and property rights. Small and medium-size farmers and ranchers will be driven out of business, and the consolidation of our food supply into the hands of a few large, multinational corporations will continue. NAIS must be stopped, and FARFA will lead the fight, first in Texas and then at the national level.

Beyond the immediate problem of NAIS, FARFA will continue to serve as the voice of non-corporate agriculture. The issues are many and varied: land use regulations, land valuation issues, condemnation of land for "public purposes," protection of Constitutional rights and liberties, funding for research, regulation of marketing, and many others. Priorities will be based both on threats (such as NAIS) and on recognizing, and even creating, opportunities for independent ranchers and farmers, whose work guarantees America's food supply.

Visit FARFA's website at http://en.groundspring.org/EmailNow/pub.php?module=URLTracker&cmd=track&j=71326429&u=657653. For more information concerning NAIS or FARFA, contact Judith McGeary at jmcgeary@att.net or (512) 243-2706.

2. Preliminary Analysis of USDA's April 6, 2006 Announcement on NAIS

USDA's press conference on April 6 and the documents released the same day provide some very good news. USDA will not propose regulations in July 2006 for NAIS. USDA has also extended the timelines for the program. These are excellent developments. They mean that we have time: time to educate people about this program, time to work with our state agencies, and time to place pressure on our elected officials.

The bad news is that it appears that USDA has simply decentralized the system without significantly changing the requirements. Perhaps USDA recognized that handling NAIS as a nationalized program in a single database was technologically impossible. Perhaps USDA hopes to avoid a direct challenge to NAIS by not adopting regulations that could be challenged in court. Or perhaps USDA hopes that those who are against NAIS will not be able to effectively oppose a system that is scattered through 50 states and multiple private entities. While the reasons are not clear, the result is: NAIS will be implemented by the states and private entities, and USDA will have access to the information through a metadata portal. This is no less burdensome or intrusive on animal-owners than the original plan.

The documents released by USDA include "Strategies for the Implementation of NAIS" ("Strategies") and "Administration of Official Identification Devices with the Animal Identification Number" ("Administration"). These documents have not been published in the Federal Register, unlike the Draft Plan and Draft Strategic Standards from 2005. To review these documents, please see http://en.groundspring.org/EmailNow/pub.php?module=URLTracker&cmd=track&j=71326429&u=657654. A transcript of the press conference can be found at http://en.groundspring.org/EmailNow/pub.php?module=URLTracker&cmd=track&j=71326429&u=657655!ut/p/_s.7_0_A/7_0_1OB?contentidonly=true&contentid=2006/04/0121.xml.

While the press release and Strategies document repeatedly discussed how NAIS is a "voluntary plan," the USDA has set specific benchmarks. The Strategies states:

USDA will evaluate whether the participation levels are increasing at rates that will achieve full participation by 2009. Based on that analysis, USDA will determine if the market-driven incentives, along with industry "buy-in" for improved animal disease programs, is resulting in adequate participation and growth rates for NAIS to be successful by the established target dates. If participation rates are not adequate, the development of regulations through normal rulemaking procedures will be considered to require participation in certain aspects of the program.

(Strategies, p.3, emphasis added.) There is no definition for "adequate participation" or "growth rates." The benchmarks are set as follows:> January 2007: 25% of premises registered> January 2008: 70% of premises registered > 40% of animals registered> January 2009: 100% of premises registered> 100% of "new" animals identified ("New" is defined as animals born in the last year)> 60% of animals <>

(Strategies, p.3) "These benchmarks are participation levels APHIS believes are necessary for the industry, State, and Federal partnership to successfully achieve the goals and objectives of NAIS." (Strategies, p.3.) Consistent with the goal of 100% participation, the Administration document states: "To have a successful animal disease management program, all producers and affected industry segments will have to participate eventually." (Administration, p.1, emphasis added.)

In other words, the USDA contends that 100% of premises must be registered and that all animals born after January 2008 will have to be individually identified, to meet its goal for January 2009. And if that goal is not met, we can expect there to be federal regulation. Indeed, by setting the intermediate benchmarks, if USDA does not think that there is adequate "growth rates," it may issue proposed regulations even before 2009. USDA still claims (incorrectly), that it has statutory authority to implement a mandatory NAIS if it chooses to. (See Transcript of Tele-News Conference, April 6, 2006; "REPORTER: ... If you wanted to make this program mandatory, is this something you could do through the rulemaking process within USDA, or would you actually need Congress to put out some new legislation? SEC. JOHANNS: We would not. We can do that today. We would not need new legislation.")

One of the confusing things about these documents is that USDA appears to have underestimated the number of premises and animals involved. The Strategies states that USDA estimates that there are 2 million premises and 40 million newborn animals annually. This leaves open the slight possibility that, if USDA reached those numbers, it might choose to ignore the fact that this would not mean 100% participation. But the USDA has not bound itself to that limitation. Rather, the Strategies defines "premises" in essentially the same way as the 2005 Plan: "[Premises that need to be registered by 2009] includes all locations that manage and/or hold livestock and poultry." (Strategies, p.4, emphasis added.)

Moreover, even as it provides these low estimates, the Strategies reiterates that USDA's goal is for 100% of premises and 100% of new animals to be registered. (Strategies, p.4-5.) And the USDA maintains its ability to mandate 100% compliance: "If the marketplace, along with State and Federal identification programs, does not provide adequate incentives for achieving complete participation, USDA may be required to implement regulations." (Strategies, p.3.) Even if USDA were content with those 2 million registrations and 40 million animal identifications, many small and medium size producers will have to be included to reach those numbers, placing the heavy burdens of NAIS on their shoulders.

USDA also appears to be trying to quiet the opposition from the horse and poultry owners. The Strategies focuses on cattle in its specific examples (such as estimates of the number of cattle killed each year) and the Administration document identifies cattle as the priority for the animal identification stage. But neither document defines "animals." Thus, we have to rely on the definitions provided in the published plan from 2005, which would include all livestock, including poultry and horses. Indeed, the Cooperative Agreement that was also released by USDA on April 6 includes the following Purpose statement:

The purpose of this CA [Cooperative Agreement] is to facilitate the deployment of an information technology infrastructure that will enable animal health officials to access animal identification, tracking, and movement data from data sets other than those maintained by the Federal government as necessary to support animal disease control and eradication programs of pests or diseases to protect all livestock, i.e., all farm-raised animals, in the United States. This agreement assists in implementing an interim/development phase to enable private organizations and States with systems that meet minimum requirements to participate in the development of the infrastructure for the timely advancement of the National Animal Identification System (NAIS). (emphasis added)

Similarly, USDA appears to be trying to deflect the criticism of the technology aspects of NAIS. Thus, the Administration document provides that non-RFID tags may be used. At the same time, USDA clearly intends to move the entire program towards electronic identification: "At this time, USDA views visual identification tags as a starting point for the identification of cattle to ensure greater participation among all producers." (Administration, p.5, emphasis added.) Once every premises is registered in state and private databases, it would be easy to require the animal owners to move away from this "starting point" to the radio tags and microchips that would profit the technology industry.

There is no mention of abolishing the poultry or equine working groups. Nor is there any change in the composition of the working groups, so that they remain dominated by the large associations (who are potentially candidates for operating the private databases at a profit), large agricultural companies (who want NAIS to improve the export market), and technology companies (whose self-interest is obvious).

Overall, the April 6th announcements present a small victory, while still showing how much work is in front of us. We have gained precious time, and no longer face the imminent threat of regulations. Yet the USDA has not changed the true substance of NAIS. Rather, we face a fight in every state to prevent burdensome and pointless regulations, while still facing the threat of federal regulation if USDA believes that there is insufficient progress.

For more information, contact:
Judith McGeary
Executive Director
Farm and Ranch Freedom Alliance
8308 Sassman Rd
Austin, TX 78747
(512) 243-2706
jmcgeary@att.net
http://en.groundspring.org/EmailNow/pub.php?module=URLTracker&cmd=track&j=71326429&u=657656

*****************************************************
Bill Sanda
Executive Director
Weston A. Price Foundation
bsanda@westonaprice.org

Friday, April 07, 2006

A little PR for our Meetup group

The Atlanta Oil Awareness Meetup Group
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Addressing Our Addiction to Oil

ATLANTA, GA -- April 3, 2006. If oil reaches $70 a barrel soon, as some analysts are predicting, it won't surprise members of the Atlanta Oil Awareness Meetup Group.

The group meets the second Wednesday of each month to discuss energy, sustainability, and peak oil, the theory that worldwide oil production is entering irreversible decline. The theory was developed in the 1950's by petroleum geologist M. King Hubbert, who correctly predicted that oil production in the US would decline after peaking in 1970. He also predicted permanent decreases in world production after 2000.

"Official forecasts predict a 50% increase in oil consumption by 2025, but discoveries peaked 40 years ago, and production over the past few years has been essentially flat. Where will this extra oil come from?" said member Douglas Hartley. He quickly adds that the world is not running out of oil.

"We will be pumping and using oil in a hundred years. But soon every year will bring less and less oil, while our growth-based economies require more and more. This is the problem of peak oil."

Hubbert had been largely forgotten since the oil shocks of the 1970's, but the late scientist has generated renewed interest since oil prices began their sharp climb earlier this century. The US Department of Energy commissioned a report published in February 2005, known as the Hirsch Report after its lead author. It concluded that about half the recoverable oil in the world has been produced and that even the most optimistic forecasters predicted a production peak within 25 years. The Hirsch Report is available for download from the Atlanta Oil Awareness Meetup website.

The report recommends aggressive development of alternative energy, but group members are skeptical that alternatives can replace relatively cheap oil.

"The hydrogen economy is a myth and transportation fuel from coal and coal sands, when possible, is much more expensive than the old fashioned oil gushers or even oil that has to be forced out of the ground with high technology. These costs will affect industry and consumers,” said Hartley.

A common topic is what the group calls "our energy-intensive infrastructure." Hartley cites it as the US's chief obstacle to overcoming oil addiction.

"Can you walk or bike from your home to a grocery store? It is absurd that our infrastructure requires us to use a 2,000 pound, fossil-fuel-burning machine to go get a two pound loaf of bread while polluting and endangering out neighbors."

Group organizer Liz Logan agrees and emphasizes the group is not a doomsday club.

"We have great discussions about exciting developments in urban planning and localized agriculture. It sounds odd, but decreasing oil supplies could have some very positive effects on our communities."

She adds, "An ideal city would feed its own citizens. The grocery you could walk to would be an in-town garden or micro-farm. And it would be owned by the family down the street, and they would live next to the small school you can watch your children walk to."

Many members found and joined the group after watching the award winning feature documentary The End of Suburbia. The film is one of the first to discuss peak oil and its effects on US infrastructure. It features Matthew Simmons, CEO of the world's largest energy investment bank and author of Twilight in the Desert, and James Howard Kunstler, author of The Geography of Nowhere and The Long Emergency. The group held a free public screening last fall. They plan to show a documentary on the reaction of Cuba to loss of oil imports from the Soviet Union.

The group has 40 members and usually has several new people at each meeting.

"I get information, support and motivation by coming to meetings. It is an important part of my life," said Logan. She training to facilitate and educate communities relocalizing their food and energy supplies.

Members note that they don't have the answers yet, but they are learning what questions to ask and where to find reliable information.

Tuesday, March 28, 2006

Food for thought...

Tonight as I was going through my blogroll I found two thought- and feeling- provoking essays that I recommend. The first is at deconsumption synthesizing his thought processes about our culture and our future:

The time for a self-imposed education and socio-personal growth has passed: we did not learn to delay our gratification, we did not learn to rise above our individual differences, and we did not invest the precious wealth of fossil-fuel resources that were available to us. Thus, although many people do not know it yet and won't until it is even more clearly in front of our faces, the window of opportunity for our "Star Trek" future is closed to us. We won't be living in eco-cities any more that we'll be journeying to the stars; we didn't invest for these possibilities while we had the wealth, and now we are broke. But at the same time we probably shouldn't lose too much sleep over it because realistically we were never going to do any of those things anyway. Certainly we could have paced ourselves, trod the road of human progress in careful, well-studied steps and directed our course with more than just lip-service to the benefit of future generations. But our leaders didn't do that, either in the past or today. And we didn't ask them to, either in the past or today. This was the path by which our culture of Empire redeems itself, and whereby both our society and our leaders grow-up, embrace gratitude, and accept responsibility for the gifts we were given. This was an option open to us, make no mistake. But it didn't happen, at least not in time--and now that path can no longer develop because WE never developed.
Deconsumption provided a link to one of Ran Prieur's recent pieces that chronicles the Worst Case Scenario, the Ridiculous Best Case scenario, Naive Sci-fi Utopia, his Sci-fi Utopia, Playing the Odds and finally just You. He has a way of bringing it all home. Check it out.

Sunday, March 26, 2006

Home Cookin'


There is nothing like going to a local festival to rekindle your faith in humanity. Even better when the festival gets so famous it has an international reputation. This weekend we drove down to Macon, Georgia for the International Cherry Blossom Festival.

It was unseasonably cold but sunny. We went to a small air show on Saturday. It was thrilling. It saddens me to think that this may all go away if the price of fuel continues to rise.

Sunday we drove by the beautiful mansions that had been reclaimed from disrepair on the way in. The blossoms were past their peak by a week but it was still lovely. How neat to have a civic identity that involves planting trees! Each year the Cherry Blossom Festival and the Keep Macon-Bibb Beautiful Commission distribute over 6500 trees as a gift from the Fickling family at no cost to local residents.

Everyone was wearing pink as well. It was like being among fellow sports fans, except this was celebrating a 10-day long party that includes a gala ball, a fish rodeo by the new riverwalk, not one but two parades, Japanese dancers, a permanently pink poodle, the bedrace, and pink pancakes.

So much spirit! Some of the homes are even painted pink.

What a wonderful feeling to belong to the hometown of something so special. It reminds me of growing up in Berkeley. I identified strongly with the city, and loved the feeling of fellowship just walking down the street. I felt pride that people in my city were passionate about their beliefs and willing to take a stand for them.

I think every city and town needs to have something that people can be passionate about. It doesn't really matter what it is, as long as it is inclusive and gives people a chance to have fun with their fellow citizens. What a great way to build community. If your city already has something like this, go and join them! If not, how about joining a committee and getting something happening?

Saturday, March 18, 2006

New Urbanism

I recently took a tour of Smyrna, Georgia's "Village Green," a beautiful redevelopment that revitalized its downtown area. Anchored by a community center and library, it is gives the people of the city a place to come together. It boasts a mix of retail and townhomes and is surrounded by single family dwellings that have rear-alley access so that the front porches are a quick walk away from the Village. The sidewalks link the regional bike trails to the area as well. The developers get a premium for these locations and the tax revenue generated lowered the taxes city-wide.

So why isn't this happening everywhere? David Roberts at Gristmill posed this question and got many reasons in response. Here's a brief taste of the comments:

"Another reason for the lack of new urbanism or new models of housing is money. Big projects require loans and other financial instruments, and the people who control the money are quite risk averse. They know how to calculate the probable return on investment for today's sprawling developments; they know what kinds of risks are involved. But with New Urbanism, they don't know, and therefore won't provide the funding."

"It's a phenomenon of our 'growth culture' - if we aren't growing, we are failing. While this isn't true, it's an American axiom. And until we chill out and realize that growth is often unwise or even bad for the local populace, little will change. And in the end, it's we Americans who have to stand up to local elected officials and developers and others and simply say 'ENOUGH!'"

"One word: zoning. Local governments create incredibly repressive zoning laws that restrict the size and shape of buildings, depending on how the property is zoned. If anyone hasn't come across this before, a typical town is divided into commercial, residential, manufacturing, and mixed-use zones, which are then subdivided into two or more categories."

"municipal codes...Red-Development costs...Organization and cooperation...The nature of sprawl..Trend towards bigger corporations..."
Sine.Qua.Non cross posted her response on her blog here.
"As an urban planner and designer, I have worked for the past 20 out of 29 years to make a difference in curtailing the physical growth of cities. It is difficult. Additionally, an earlier commenter is correct, in that early zoning laws created in the 1960s are still in use today. The separate uses, create walls between people and communities, and created the NIMBY syndrome among other horrors. We can also thank the real estate field for passing on the bad information relative to land values, perpetuating myths to the NIMBY. As for developers and builders. Most of them are not very creative. They do what the see and all they see is separation and single-family homes on tract lots."

Monday, March 13, 2006

An Alternative Living Situation

Liz Seymore writes about adopting a new lifestyle in Inviting Anarchy Into My Home when faced with single motherhood at the age of 52.
On Aug. 1, 2002, I left behind the comfortably roomy semicircle marked "married-couple household" on the Census Bureau pie chart and slipped into an inconspicuous wedge labeled "two or more people, nonfamily." Having separated from my husband of 28 years the day before, I opened our three-bedroom 1927 Colonial Revival house to a group of men and women less than half my age. Overnight, the home I had lived in for 12 years became a seven-person anarchist collective, run by consensus and fueled by punk music, curse-studded conversation and food scavenged from Dumpsters.
She discovered that anarchist were a lot like Quakers (except they swear more) and that this way of living went a long way towards making ends meet.

...I entered a microeconomy in which it is possible to live not just comfortably, but well, on $500 a month. When we pooled our skills in our new household, we found that we had what we needed to design a Web page, paint a ceiling or install a car stereo. Sharing services and tools with people outside the house saved us thousands of dollars a year. If there is a historical model for the way we live, it is not the communes of the 60's or the utopian experiments of the 19th century, but the two-million-year prehistory of our hunting-and-gathering ancestors. Looked at through that lens, the life of our miniature tribe feels a lot like the way people were meant to live.

Seymore describes some of the problems they had, and concludes:

Where I live now is not utopia. What it is, though, is fun. It is fun to hear people laughing on the porch; it is fun to dance in the kitchen; it is fun to go out on a Wednesday evening Dumpster run. As messy as it is, to my mind it is a lot more interesting than utopia could ever be.

Thursday, March 09, 2006

Meetup Groups


Last night our Oil Awareness Meetup Group met. It is always invigorating to be with other folks concerned about Peak Oil. We want to promote our group and increase our membership and activities. We have plans for screenings of The End of Suburbia and Community Solution's soon-to-be-released documentary The Power of Community. It's about how Cuba survived the sudden cut off from their oil supply when the Soviet Union dissolved.

We would eventually like to host our own conference, like the New York City group is doing. Peak Oil NYC is encouraging people from Meetup groups to attend their Energy Solutions Conference April 27-29. If there is interest they can set up an opportunity to network.

If you would like to take action and connect with other people, joining or starting a Meetup group is a great way to get involved. Many groups have their own websites besides the Meetup pages. Sydney Peak Oil has a list of links. They are promoting the idea that all groups should adopt a universal name protocol of [cityname]peakoil. Portland Peak Oil has a neat website.

As "Scoop" Nisker says, "If you don't like the news... go out and make some of your own!"

Sunday, March 05, 2006

Ethanol Controversy

The question of whether ethanol made from corn has a positive EROEI (energy returned on energy invested) is in dispute. One issue is what do you count as the energy invested? Do you include the oil that produced the fertailizers and the natural gas that produced the pesticides? The diesel fuel that runs the farm equiptment?

This is a repost of a repost on the Sustainable Agriculture Network listserve. I am posting the whole long article because I don't have a link to it.

> From: "SANET-MG automatic digest system"
> Date: Wed, 1 Mar 2006 17:31:44 -0500
> Subject: biofuels for addicts
>
> ISIS Press Release 28/02/06
> Biofuels for Oil Addicts
> Cure Worse than The Addiction
> Bioethanol and biodiesel from energy crops compete for land that grows
> food and return less energy than the fossil fuel energy squandered in
> producing them; they are also damaging to the environment and disastrous
> for the economy. Dr. Mae-Wan Ho
>
> A longer, fully referenced version of this article is posted on ISIS
> members' website. Details here.
>
> "We must break our addiction to oil", President George W. Bush said in
> his State of the Union address; but he wasn't advising people to give up
> their cars or to use less oil, say by improving the gas mileage of cars.
> Instead, he launched the "Advanced Energy Initiative" that would
> increase federal budget by 22 percent for research into clean fuel
> technologies; including biofuels derived from plants as substitutes for
> oil (see Box) to power the country's cars.
>
> Successive US presidents have promoted ethanol from corn as a subsidised
> fuel additive. President Bush said US scientists are now working out how
> to make ethanol from wood chips, stalks, or switch grass "practical and
> competitive within six years", which would replace more than 70 percent
> of oil imports from "unstable parts of the world" - the Middle East - by
> 2025. Currently 60 percent of the oil consumed in the US is imported, up
> from 53 percent since George W. Bush came to power.
>
> What are biofuels?
> Biofuels are fuels derived from crop plants, and include biomass that's
> directly burned, biodiesel from plant seed-oil, and ethanol (or
> methanol) from fermenting grain, grass, straw or wood. Biofuels have
> gained favour with environmental groups as renewable energy sources that
> are "carbon neutral", in that they do not add any greenhouse gas into
> the atmosphere; burning them simply returns to the atmosphere the carbon
> dioxide that the plants take out when they were growing in the field.
>
> However, they take up valuable land that should be used for growing
> food, especially in poor Third World countries. Realistic estimates show
> that making biofuels from energy crops require more fossil fuel energy
> than they yield, and do not substantially reduce greenhouse gas
> emissions when all the inputs are accounted for. Furthermore, they cause
> irreparable damages to the soil and the environment (see main text).
>
> Biofuels can also be produced from wood chips, crop residues and other
> agricultural and industrial wastes, which do not compete for land with
> food crops, but the environmental impacts are still substantial.
>
> Biofuels cannot substitute for current fossil fuel use
> Biofuels from energy crops cannot substitute for current fossil fuel
> use. The major constraints are land surface available for growing the
> crops, crop yield, and energy conversion efficiency, although economics
> also plays a large role.
>
> Growing crops for burning - biomass - should be the cheapest kind of
> biofuel both in energy and financial terms, as it requires minimum
> processing after harvest.
>
> Crop scientists at Virginia Tech, David Parrish and John Fike, reviewed
> the biology and agronomy of switchgrass, the most researched and
> favoured biofuel crop. Switchgrass is a perennial native to the USA, and
> has been extensively grown for fodder soon after the Europeans arrived.
> It is prolific, does not require much nitrogen fertilizer, and is
> considered the most sustainable, or the least environmentally damaging
> biofuel crop. But the review concluded that, "even at maximum output,
> such systems could not provide the energy currently being derived from
> fossil fuels."
>
> Substituting switchgrass for coal is estimated to reduce greenhouse gas
> emissions by about 1.7 t CO2 per t switchgrass. The prices that growers
> must receive for biomass, however, must be sufficiently favourable.
> Thus, about 8 m ha would be available if the price reached $ 33 per t at
> the farm gate, increasing to about 17 m ha at $44 per t. The market
> price paid for woodchip biomass in Virginia in 2004 averaged about $33
> per t delivered, and the price for hay (all kinds) is about $95 per t.
>
> One estimate placed the delivery costs of switchgrass at $63 per t.
> Adding the costs of processing, such as pressing into pellets or cubes
> for handling within a power plant, would bring the user's costs to about
> $83 per t. One t of switchgrass produces 17-18 GJ of energy when burned,
> compared with 27-30 GJ for coal; and coal prices are $55 per t.
>
> Switchgrass for energy is not at all economically competitive, unless
> substantial subsidy is available. The same applies, perforce, to other
> energy crops.
>
> David Pimentel, a professor of crops science at Cornell University New
> York and Tad Patzek, a professor of chemical engineering at University
> of California Berkeley, reviewed the energy balance and economics of
> producing biomass, ethanol or biodiesel from corn, switchgrass, wood,
> soybeans and sunflower using the now generally accepted life-cycle
> analysis. Although there is much controversy over the energy balance of
> ethanol and biodiesel, the energy balance of biomass yield is generally
> less subject to dispute, and is therefore a useful starting point.
>
> It turns out that switchgrass has the most favourable output/input
> energy ratio of 14.52, followed by wheat at 12.88, and oilseed rape at
> 9.21, if the straw is included. Switchgrass is hence the most promising
> energy crop, whether as biomass for burning or to make other fuels
> downstream, such as ethanol.
>
> A quick calculation showed that even if all the farmland in the United
> States were converted to growing switchgrass, it would not produce
> enough ethanol for the country's fossil fuel use. Switchgrass takes
> several years to mature. The yield ranges from 0 for complete failure of
> the crop to take hold to 20 t or more per ha, a lot depending on the
> rainfall. A yield of 15 t /ha is optimistic; and would provide some 250
> GJ/ha of raw chemical energy a year. If that energy could be converted
> with 70 percent efficiency into electricity, ethanol, methanol etc., it
> would take about 460 m ha to produce the 80EJ (ExaJoule = 1018J) fossil
> fuel energy used in the USA each year. The total farmland in the USA is
> 380 m ha, of which 175 m ha is harvested cropland.
>
> Clearly, energy crops are a bad option, and may become obsolete as
> ethanol can now be made from wood chips, crop residues and other
> agricultural wastes, and industrial wastes, though even that is not
> sustainable ("Ethanol from wood biomass not sustainable", this series).
>
> Do you get more energy out of biofuel than the fossil fuel energy you
> put in?
> There is a huge debate over the energy balance of making ethanol or
> biodiesel out of energy crops, with David Pimentel and Tad Patzek
> presenting negative energy balance for all crops based on current
> processing methods, i.e., it takes more fossil energy input to produce
> the equivalent energy in biofuel. Thus for each unit of energy spent in
> fossil fuel, the return is 0.778 unit of energy in maize ethanol, 0.688
> unit in switchgrass ethanol, 0.636 unit in wood ethanol, and worst of
> all, 0.534 unit in soybean biodiesel.
>
> Their paper has provoked a strong riposte from several US government
> departments, accusing Pimentel and Patzek of using obsolete figures, of
> not counting the energy content of by-products such as the seedcake
> (residue left after oil is extracted) that can be used as animal feed,
> and of including energy used for building processing plants, farm
> machinery, and labour, not usually included in such assessments.
>
> For their part, Pimentel and Patzek, along with many other scientists
> like me, are critical of estimates that produce positive energy balance
> precisely because they leave out necessary energy investments. In fact,
> neither Pimentel and Patzek nor their critics have included the costs of
> waste treatment and disposal or the environmental impacts of intensive
> bioenergy crop cultivation such as depletion of soil and environmental
> pollution from fertilizers and pesticides.
>
> To apportion processing-energy to coproducts according to their bulk
> composition in the seed may appear unexceptionable. Only 18 percent of
> the soybean is oil that makes biodiesel, while the rest is soybean cake
> used as animal feed. However, as the seedcake is produced as soon as the
> oil is extracted, it is simply creative accounting to attribute 82
> percent of the downstream processing energy for biodiesel - which is
> quite substantial - to the animal feed.
>
> Energy balance of ethanol from corn
> Sure enough, a new study comparing six estimates of energy balance of
> corn ethanol did find that "net energy calculations are most sensitive
> to assumptions about coproduct allocation".
>
> The new study, carried out by researchers at the University of
> California Berkeley, published in the journal Science, evaluated six
> analyses of corn-ethanol production, including those of Pimentel and
> Patzek. The researchers developed a 'model' to allow them to compare the
> data and assumptions across the analyses. Pimentel and Patzek's negative
> energy balance stood out in including energy used for building
> processing plants, farm machinery, and labour, and for not giving credit
> for co-products. Removing those "incommensurate" factors nevertheless
> resulted in only a modest positive energy balance of just over 3
> MJ/litre to 8 MJ/litre ethanol in the analyses that gave positive energy
> balance, which translates to 1.13 to 1.34 for energy output/energy input
> (there being 23.4MJ in one litre of ethanol), while the reduction in
> greenhouse gas emissions averaged about 13 percent.
>
> The researchers have devised a way of presenting energy balance in terms
> of "petroleum input" - expressed as MJ petrol/MJ ethanol - that puts a
> very positive gloss on the figures and is very misleading. It
> essentially adds one hundred percent energy credit to the ethanol
> because it assumes that the ethanol substitutes 100 percent for fossil
> fuel use.
>
> The researchers then used the "best data" from the six analyses to
> "create" three cases with their model (hence all hypothetical): Ethanol
> Today, that claims to include typical values for the current US corn
> ethanol industry; CO2 Intensive, based on plans to ship Nebraska corn to
> a lignite-powered ethanol plant in North Dakota, and Cellulosic, which
> assumes that production of ethanol from switchgrass cellulose becomes
> economic, an admitted "preliminary estimate of a rapidly evolving
> technology".
>
> he three cases, the researchers found a positive energy balance: a
> whopping 23 MJ/litre ethanol for Cellulosic, 5 MJ/litre for Ethanol
> Today, and 1.2 MJ/litre for CO2 Intensive; the corresponding
> output/input energy ratios are 1.98, 1.21, and 1.05 respectively.
> Cellulosic is the clear winner in terms of energy balance, and also by a
> long shot in net greenhouse gas emission saved, which is 89 percent; the
> corresponding values for Ethanol Today and CO2 Intensive are 17 percent
> and about 2 percent respectively.
> These analyses show that current production methods, represented by
> Ethanol Today and CO2 Intensive, offer but a small positive energy
> balance and little if any savings in greenhouse gas emissions, even with
> the most favourable assumptions built in.
>
> Bad economics of ethanol from corn
> Ethanol constitute 99 percent of all biofuels in the United States; 3.4
> billion gallons of ethanol were produced in 2004 and blended into
> gasoline, amounting to about 2 percent of all gasoline sold by volume
> and 1.3 percent of its energy content.
>
> Ethanol use is set to expand as the federal government has introduced a
> 0.51 tax credit per gallon of ethanol and issued a new mandate for 7.5
> billion gallons of "renewable fuel" to be used in gasoline by 2012,
> which is included in the recently passed Energy Policy Act (EPACT 2005).
>
> Pimentel and Patzek have shown not only that the energy return is
> substantially negative, the economics is worse. About 50 percent of the
> cost of producing ethanol is for the corn feedstock itself
> ($0.28/litre). Ethanol costs a lot more to produce than it is worth on
> the market, and without federal and state subsidies amounting to some $3
> billion per year, corn ethanol production in the US would cease. Senator
> McCain reports that total ethanol subsidies amount to $0.79/ litre;
> adding the production costs would bring the cost to $1.24/litre. Ethanol
> has only 66 percent as much energy per litre as gasoline; so corn
> ethanol costs $1.88 per litre- or $7.12 per gallon- equivalent of
> gasoline, compared to the current cost of producing gasoline, which is
> $.33/litre.
>
> Federal and state subsidies for ethanol production that total
> $0.79/litre mainly end up in the pocket of large corporations, with a
> maximum of $0.02 per bushel, or 0.2 cent/litre ethanol going to the
> farmer.
>
> The total costs to the consumer in subsidizing ethanol and corn
> production is estimated at $8.4 billion/yr, because producing the
> required corn feedstock increases corn prices. One estimate is that
> ethanol production adds more than $1 billion to the cost of beef
> production.
>
> Clearly ethanol from corn is neither sustainable nor economical, and a
> lot of effort has been devoted to finding alternative feedstock.
>
> Worse energy yields as accounting gets more realistic
> In a detailed rebuttal to the Science paper showing a positive energy
> balance in ethanol production from corn, Patzek exposed the major flaws
> in energy accounting used, which greatly inflated the energy return.
> These include:
>
> Failure to account for the energy in corn grains as energy input
> Assuming an impossibly high yield of corn ethanol at variance with real
> data available
> Assigning away undue energy costs in ethanol production, in particular,
> distillation, to coproducts such as fermentation residues that have
> nothing to do with ethanol production.
> In addition, the ethanol industry routinely inflates the ethanol yield
> by counting as ethanol the 5 percent of gasoline added to corn ethanol
> as denaturant; by taking the amount of fermentable starch to be the
> total extractable starch, although not all of the latter is fermentable;
> and by taking the weight of wet corn (average 18 percent moisture) as
> dry corn.
>
> When the energy accounting done by different authors is reanalysed on
> the same set of realistic data, energy yields come out remarkably
> uniform. The output/input ratio varies between 0.245 and 0.310. In other
> words, the energy balance is strongly negative: for every unit used in
> making corn ethanol, one gets at most 0.3 unit of energy back. It takes
> at least 9 times more fossil fuel energy to produce ethanol from corn at
> the refinery gate than gasoline or diesel fuel from crude oil.
>
> As Patzek points out, the 7.5 billion gallons of ethanol mandated by the
> 2005 Energy Bill by 2012 could be compensated by an increase of car
> mileage by just one mile per gallon, excluding gas-guzzling SUVs and
> light trucks.
>
> The economic consequences of excessive corn production have been
> devastating. The price of corn in Iowa, the largest corn producer,
> declined 10-fold between 1949 and 2005 as corn yields have tripled.
> Today, Iowa farmers earn a third for the corn they sell compared to
> 1949, while their production costs increased manifold, because they burn
> methane and diesel to produce corn. The price of methane has increased
> several-fold in the last three years. "Corn crop subsidies supplemented
> the market corn price by up to 50 percent between 1995 and 2004." Patzek
> writes, predicting more concentration of industrial corn production in
> gigantic farms operated by large agribusiness corporations, and real
> farmers will only rent the land.
>
> An industrial raw material at rock-bottom price can now be processed
> into ethanol at a significant profit, further enhanced by a federal
> subsidy of 50 cents per gallon ethanol, plus state and local community
> subsidies.
>
> Patzek concludes: "the United States has already wasted a lot of time,
> money, and natural resources...pursuing a mirage of an energy scheme
> that cannot possibly replace fossil fuels.The only real solution is to
> limit the rate of use of these fossil fuels. Everything else will lead
> to an eventual national disaster."
>
> ********************************************************
> Visit the SANET-MG archives at:
> http://lists.sare.org/archives/sanet-mg.html.
> Questions? Visit http://www.sare.org/about/sanetFAQ.htm.
> For more information on grants and other resources available through the
> SARE program, please visit http://www.sare.org.
>

Saturday, March 04, 2006

Protect Food Labeling Laws

Another inbox post:

Vote "No" on H.R. 4167 http://www.organicconsumers.org/rd/labeling.cfm

This blatantly anti-consumer Bill would eliminate over 200 state food safety labeling laws. Yesterday, March 2, we won an unexpected and important victory, when the House decided to delay a scheduled vote on the controversial "National Unity for Food Act" until March 8. Industry lobbyists representing major food, biotech, and retail chains were shocked at the nationwide backlash against the legislation.

Congress members felt the heat as 50,000 consumers, including over 30,000 from the Organic Consumers Association, barraged Congress with email letters and phone calls over the past four days. Siding with consumers, a number of major newspapers published editorials against HR 4167, while Attorney Generals from 35 states sent a strong letter to Congress opposing the Bill. But Congress is still poised to pass this Bill, which takes away your right to know what's in your food.

How You Can Help

  • If you have not already done so, please Take Action Now --Send a Message to Your Congress Member in the House of Representatives to Vote "No" on H.R. 4167 http://www.organicconsumers.org/rd/labeling.cfm
  • Please forward this Action Alert to five or more of your friends to ensure that the House votes "no" on HR Bill 4167 on March 8. We need to continue to inundate Congress with letters, sending a strong message that we want food safety laws and labels strengthened, not weakened.
  • Also please consider picking up your phone and calling the Congressional Switchboard 202-224-3121 and have them connect you with the office of your Representative. Phone calls at this point are extremely important.
  • In addition, OCA needs to raise at least $10,000 to crank up our phone bank next week to get thousands of organic consumers in key Congressional Districts to call or send a letter to their Representative. Please consider making a tax-deductible donation to the OCA now http://www.organicconsumers.org/donations.htm

Again thanks for taking action on HR 4167. Our cause is just and our numbers are growing. We will provide you with an update next week, as soon as Congress votes on this important issue of local democracy and food safety.

Regards & Solidarity,

Ronnie Cummins and the OCA Team

Thursday, March 02, 2006

First draft of my 3 minute speech to the city council

I've just finished my first draft of my "three minute" speech to the city council. I would love feedback and suggestions.

There is an issue of utmost importance with profound consequences for our communities that has not gotten the attention it deserves. I'm bringing it up here because I believe that this city is capable of tackling the issue. The issue is "Peak Oil", and tonight I will take a few moments to give you a brief introduction to it and what it means for our communities.

Peak Oil is not about the end of oil, it is about the end of cheap oil. Peak oil is the moment in time when the global oil production peaks, and after that, the rate of production will decline. As global production declines, global demand will increase, and the gap between supply and demand will get bigger and bigger. This means that the price of oil will increase and eventually oil will become a scarce resource.

The implications of this are profound. The most obvious impact will be in transportation. It will become much more expensive to transport goods. What in this room wasn't transported here? Or take food, for example. In a 2003 study done at Iowa State University they found that your supper traveled an average of 1,500 miles to get to your table.

There are other, less obvious ways that we depend on oil. The fertilizers used to grow your food are made from oil, and farm equipment used to harvest runs on oil. In fact, oil is a feedstock for many products, including plastics, textiles and pharmaceuticals. Peak oil will affect every aspect of global industrial society that uses energy, either directly or indirectly.

As long distance transportation for food and other important goods becomes too expensive with declining oil supplies, local communities will have to become much more self-reliant and self-sustaining. In effect, the process of globalization
will reverse as a massive economic re-localization effort begins out of necessity. Energy production will become an issue. Alternative energy sources that don't make sense on a massive scale will become invaluable on the community level.

I have spent the last year researching and studying peak oil, as well as the steps we can take to prepare for it, and I would like to request 15 minutes of your next meeting to share more about this vitally important topic. Will you please consider adding me to your agenda?

Wednesday, March 01, 2006

Two new resources

Aaron Nuline posted a comment in January recommending an introduction to peak oil resource and I have just now gotten to viewing it and checking out his blog. I recommend both and will be adding them to my list.

The introduction is a 13 minute video called the Real Oil Crisis and it was made in Australia but is very accessible. I had a problem with the buffering so I put it on mute to let it load once and then viewed the whole thing. It gets a lot across in a short amount of time, and effectively mixes explanatory images with the talking heads. Nuline reviews it here.

Nuline's blog, Powering Down, is "a discussion on peak oil with an emphasis on RELOCALIZATION as a response for North Carolina and the greater Southeast." His interests include urban homesteading and he has implemented important changes in his household. But the best parts are his long thoughtful posts, written simply and with concrete examples that make his concepts come alive. Check him out!

Tuesday, February 28, 2006

A Threat to Wind Turbines

I just got this in an email from Environmental Action. It's important enough to pass along:

Some of you may know Don Young (R-AK)-he's the Congressman who has used every trick in the book to try and open the Arctic Refuge in Alaska to drilling. Now, Rep. Young is applying his underhanded ways to block efforts to harness wind power. We need your help in stopping Don Young's Power Play!

At the urging of his Big Oil allies, Rep. Young is trying to shut down the largest wind project in the U.S. by sneaking an amendment into an unrelated federal bill. If he succeeds, his amendment would ban all wind turbines within 1.5 miles of a shipping lane-even though an oil rig can be as close as 500 feet to a shipping lane. This would effectively kill all offshore wind projects in the U.S.

Can you send an e-mail to Senators McCain (R-AZ) and Inouye (D-HI), who lead the relevant Senate Committee, and tell them to Stop Don Young's Power Play?

Click here or paste the link into your browser:
http://www.environmental-action.org/energy.asp?id=1441&id4=ES

The Cape Wind project slated for the waters off Cape Cod, is a promising symbol of the potential of renewable energy and a critical step in ending our dependence on fossil fuels. The 130 windmill complex would provide three-quarters of the area's electricity and as much power as a large coal-fired power plant.

However, a front-group for Big Oil that calls itself the "Alliance to Protect Nantucket Sound" is fighting to kill the project. The co-chairman of this industry group is Bill Koch -- who also happens to be the owner of a major energy conglomerate that includes coal, oil and natural gas interests. Forbes Magazine listed Koch's company as one of the 400 largest privately held companies in America.

Now Koch-with the help of Don Young-is trying to kill this wind project and every other offshore project. If this amendment passes into law, one of our greatest energy resources-offshore wind-will effectively be out of reach.

Click here to help stop this back-door attack by Big Oil interests
http://www.environmental-action.org/energy.asp?id=1441&id4=ES

After you send the letter, tell your friends about this outrageous attack on renewable energy.

Sincerely,
Josh Irwin
Environmental Action
JoshI@environmental-action.org
http://www.environmental-action.org

P.S. Thanks again for your support. Please feel free to share this e-mail with your family and friends.

Friday, February 17, 2006

Permaculture in the 'Hood

I loved learning about this new solution... creating an EcoHood.

EcoHood, n: permaculture retrofit of a mid- to low-income neighborhood with a high potential for ecological sustainability.

Permaculture activist Andrew Millison gave up his dream of a back-to-the-land ecovillage and brought it home to the 'Hood.

What is Prescott's "EcoHood"? It's a mid- to low-income neighborhood situated around the floodplain of nearby Miller Creek that encompasses roughly two blocks, two apartment buildings and thirty houses, the majority of which were built in the 1930s. Fifty percent Hispanic/Native American, it's also home to a significant number of retirees and college students. The district now has six systems that reuse household graywater for irrigation in the landscape, two rainwater cisterns, five organic gardens, 25 heirloom fruit trees, and (at last count) 57 chickens.

...the EcoHood has grown to encompass seven area households. While Millison has contributed key expertise in areas such as graywater irrigation, rainwater catchment and permaculture design, the process has unfolded organically, with neighbors swapping skills, information, tools, and, at times, even child-care, chickens and compost.
What a brilliant idea.

Tuesday, February 14, 2006

Thoughts on Community

Last weekend I had a wonderful experience of Community. It was the second workshop in Tree Bressen's intensive facilitator training series. We went to a cohousing community in Northern California to learn about the consensus decision making process and to support the community members in talking about an issue of their choosing.

I enjoyed myself so much because I really resonate with the sensibilities of facilitating and cohousing: inclusion, supporting everyone to speak their truth, deep listening, bringing the whole person to the table--especially including our emotional and intuitive selves, and trusting the wisdom of the group. After spending four and a half days with people who are committed to these principles I feel really blessed and "fed." My faith in humanity is restored.

It also made me realize that I have been focusing most of my attention in this blog on the "hard" side of community building--the information we need to know to prepare for a low energy future and the infrastructures that will support this. But there is another, equally important aspect to community building, and that is the web of relationships.

The cohousing community chose the topic of "participation," which is one of the ongoing dialectical tensions in every community. How much is enough contribution to the maintenance of the community? What are the ways of participating? Is everyone able to balance their community and family experiences? What about resentment when people don't appear to "pull their weight?" What about the burden of guilt and obligation when life circumstances preclude participation?

We started out by asking them to consider the question: "what kinds of participation make up the fabric of this community for you?" Then they spoke in turn around the circle. One theme that emerged was the importance of the informal kinds of interactions--the spontaneous meetings, parties, child-care swappings, etc. The formal kinds of interactions--community dinners, meetings, landscaping, committees, etc. weren't necessarily where the action was.

Another outcome was that people shared more about what was going on with them around their participation. This had the effect of helping those that had resentments or judgments that others weren't pulling their weight empathize with them. It helped people let go of their judgments. When we listen and really receive another's point of view we find our own point of view broadens. We are able to include and hold more. The complexity of life shows up instead of black/white, right/wrong categories.

The group realized that the root of the problem wasn't really about participation after all. What it was really about was "connection." It was a thrilling moment when that distinction came forward. I was honored to be a part of the team that was supporting the group to do this deep work.

Tuesday, January 31, 2006

Global Public Media

I apologize for not blogging recently. All my time is going into preparing Peak Oil presentations.

I did want to add a website to my resouces list that I have seen mentioned many times in the last year but never checked out until now. Hopefully you already know about it, but just in case you haven't seen it let me tell you about it.

Global Public Media, "Public Service Broadcasting for a Post Carbon World,"

...has been formed to help existing public service information organizations, which include broadcasting, print and online media, give a broader, deeper and more interactive public information service. During Phase One we are developing and presenting in-depth interviews, & pilot radio and television sites and programmes in response to a wide range of topics and issues in the world.
I found them because of a link to a lecture by Colin Cambell on Peak Oil. It was well worth the hour I invested in listening to it.

Tuesday, January 24, 2006

emagazine.com

The Energy Bulletin highlighted emagazine's Peak Oil issue and so I checked it out. I had never seen it before. It looks interesting. The lead article presents "both sides" of the issue but it does so in some detail. Jim Motavalli, editor of E, calls peakers "chicken littles" (and I somehow get this is an affectionate term) but he ends the article talking about Jared Diamond's book, Collapse.

Jared Diamond discusses one of the critical stops on the road map to societal failure in his book Collapse: It turns out that societies often fail even to attempt to solve a problem once it has been perceived. What happens, he writes, it that some people may reason correctly that they can advance their own interests by behavior harmful to other people. The perpetrators know they will often get away with their bad behavior, especially if there is no law against it or the law isnt effectively enforced. They feel safe because the perpetrators are typically concentrated (few in number) and highly motivated by the prospect of reaping big, certain and immediate profits, while the losses are spread over large numbers of individuals.

Diamond isn't specifically talking about oil companies and their mega-profits, but his scenario offers a precise explanation for the West's failure to act in the face of clear and present energy danger. With the oil companies and their supporters in Congress and the White House not only controlling the debate but assuring the public that a steady hand is at the tiller, we may very well drift toward the kind of abrupt collapse Diamond documents as having taken down the Vikings, the Mayans and the mysterious tribe that inhabited Easter Island. Instead of cryptic stone statues, we may leave behind rusting oil derricks and highways that lead nowhere.

This issue includes several Sidebars:

"We're Being Manipulated"
Biodiesel: The Burning Question
Nigeria of the North: Oil Sands Frenzy Threatens Alberta Environment
Compassionate Conservation: A Real Answer to High Oil Prices
Consider the Alternatives